Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.288990 0.334911 0.384993 0.443563 0.510075 0.583148 0.669395
2025-10-19 0.214683 0.277837 0.353628 0.450785 0.571470 0.715853 0.901014
2025-10-26 0.171723 0.241484 0.331387 0.454646 0.617970 0.825528 1.107590
2025-11-02 0.141298 0.213097 0.311303 0.453619 0.652378 0.917539 1.294892
2025-11-09 0.117280 0.188340 0.290828 0.446787 0.674819 0.992056 1.461687
2025-11-16 0.098757 0.168031 0.272905 0.439714 0.693846 1.060808 1.623284
2025-11-23 0.082245 0.147909 0.252015 0.424659 0.697992 1.106557 1.753204
2025-11-30 0.076712 0.144550 0.256343 0.448278 0.761939 1.244234 2.027744
2025-12-07 0.065484 0.129703 0.239969 0.436334 0.768059 1.293356 2.170054
2025-12-14 0.055932 0.116303 0.224171 0.423140 0.770084 1.335023 2.302180
2025-12-21 0.048493 0.105647 0.211717 0.413995 0.777369 1.384690 2.449288
2025-12-28 0.044266 0.100566 0.208658 0.420978 0.812549 1.482142 2.680402
2026-01-04 0.041894 0.099034 0.212306 0.441057 0.873393 1.628548 3.005959
2026-01-11 0.038651 0.095216 0.211117 0.451938 0.918617 1.751525 3.300387
2026-01-18 0.035104 0.090162 0.206790 0.456118 0.951450 1.854556 3.566219
2026-01-25 0.031521 0.084428 0.200295 0.455114 0.973967 1.940040 3.805541
2026-02-01 0.027896 0.077989 0.191466 0.448263 0.984216 2.003279 4.007976
2026-02-08 0.024708 0.072073 0.183004 0.441169 0.993098 2.064096 4.209083
2026-02-15 0.021376 0.065197 0.171463 0.426069 0.984078 2.089745 4.345195
2026-02-22 0.020862 0.065696 0.177151 0.449759 1.057796 2.280432 4.806792
2026-03-01 0.018295 0.060126 0.167610 0.437779 1.054459 2.318618 4.975103
2026-03-08 0.015976 0.054823 0.158008 0.424546 1.047072 2.347803 5.126886
2026-03-15 0.014132 0.050564 0.150473 0.415373 1.047744 2.393153 5.313096